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'避險基金的投機賣盤導致4月份咖啡價格下跌'

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'避險,基金,投機,賣盤,導致,4月份,咖啡,價格,下跌,專業'

'專業咖啡師交流 請關注咖啡工房(微信公衆號cafe_style ) 《Agrimoney.com》5月10日報道，國際咖啡組織（International Coffee Organization, ICO）在月報當中表示，4月份ICO咖啡綜合平均價格下跌2.7%至每磅130.39美分，此創下9個月來的新低，主要是受到避險'

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''

'2017-05-12 13:34:16'

'2017-05-12 13:35:33'

'100704'

''

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'<img alt="" src="/uploads/allimg/170512/3-1F51213345T52.jpg" style="width: 360px; height: 216px;" /><br />
　　專業咖啡師交流 請關注咖啡工房(微信公衆號cafe_style )<br />
<div>
	　　《Agrimoney.com》5月10日報道，國際咖啡組織（International Coffee Organization, ICO）在月報當中表示，4月份ICO咖啡綜合平均價格下跌2.7%至每磅130.39美分，此創下9個月來的新低，主要是受到避險基金投機賣盤的影響。與月初的價格相比，月底ICO咖啡綜合平均價格更是下跌了6.9%。報告表示，2016/17上半年度（2016.10-2017.03），全球咖啡市場供給充足，全球咖啡的出口量年增4.8%達到6,000萬包；鑑於沒有重大的基本面變化，預期2017/18年度全球咖啡市場仍將總體正面。</div>
<div>
	&nbsp;</div>
<div>
	　　ICO表示，包括全球咖啡出口增長、主要消費國的咖啡庫存增加，以及避險基金的賣盤等，都是造成4月下半月咖啡價格明顯下滑的主要原因。此外，整體商品市場的大環境也不佳，商品價格多數下跌，不論是農產品或是非農產商品。在咖啡的出口方面，2016/17上半年度，巴西咖啡的出口量年增2.4%，哥倫比亞的咖啡出口量更是年增10.3%。而截至3月底，美國的咖啡庫存達到670萬包（每包60公斤），則是創下1994年以來的新高。</div>
<div>
	&nbsp;</div>
<div>
	　　ICO預估，2016/17年度，全球咖啡產量將連續第三年低於消費量，預估將有348萬包的生產缺口；不過，咖啡出口增長以及主要消費國充裕的咖啡庫存，將足以彌補產量不足所造成的影響。在主要的咖啡生產國當中，哥倫比亞在克服了咖啡鏽病所造成的危機之後，咖啡產量已經恢復至20多年來的新高。</div>
<div>
	&nbsp;</div>
<div>
	　　在價格的部分，ICO表示，咖啡與其他的商品一樣，都被避險基金視爲是資產組合的一環，而並不是投資在咖啡的基本面。因此在大環境不利的情況下，避險基金所持有的美國農產品期貨與選擇權的投機淨部位，從今年初約達8萬口的淨多單，逆轉爲上週的19萬口淨空單；而紐約咖啡期貨與選擇權則是從年初27,000口的淨多單，逆轉爲12,000口的淨空單，這也成爲了推低咖啡價格的主要因素之一。ICO認爲，在當前的環境下，咖啡價格可能還會持續面臨下跌的壓力。</div>
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'專業咖啡師交流 請關注咖啡工房(微信公衆號cafe_style ) 《Agrimoney.com》5月10日報道，國際咖啡組織（International Coffee Organization, ICO）在月報當中表示，4月份ICO咖啡綜合平均價格下跌2.7,至每磅130.39美分，此創下9個月來的新低，主要是受到避險'

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